State of the Presidential Race: Who Will Be The Chosen Ones To Debate?

Welcome once again to our fanciful romp through the world of politics. This week we will look at the gaggle of aspirants occupying the first debate stage as well as the reasons that Donald Trump has soared but will quickly drift into a low ceiling. Can Rand Paul find his footing? Will the New York Times give Ted Cruz a little respect? Should we just throw in the towels and talk about New Horizon and Pluto because that is so much cooler than all of the above? Yeah probably, but it’s too late. You’re committed now.

With the first Republican primary debate just three weeks away, it looks like, barring any major disruptions, the stage will include Bush, Trump, Walker, Rubio, Carson, Huckabee, Paul, Cruz, Christie and Perry. That means that Santorum, Fiorina, Jindal, Kasich, and Graham will be spending their time denouncing FOX News and trying to convince us that we can’t handle their truths. I wish Fiorina was in and Trump or Christie were out because they are…what’s a nice word for excrement? Oh yeah, that is the nice word.

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Many people are whining about using polls to decide on inclusion. Personally I would have preferred a two-night series of 30 minute one-on-one debates with random pairings for these first couple. Alas that would have been creative and interesting so instead we get exactly the opposite of that. Ten people with about five minutes each will try to out sound bite each other. And we wonder why America doesn’t give a damn. I’d rather play WoW and listen to my Iron Maiden collection, but then what would I write about?

Given that the news partners were always going to do exactly what they have always done, I have been one of the few to argue that the polls were a perfectly meritorious way to select participants. Politics isn’t a perfect science…or a science. Polling tries to be science-ish. It’s messy and imprecise. But the candidates have had months to find their footing and sell at least 2.8% of the voting public that they were for real. The ones that didn’t are out. That seems perfectly reasonable to me.

As for The Donald, there is a large swath of the GOP primary electorate that really, really, really worries about immigration. They peek through the blinds, finger their shotguns and wait for the unwashed masses to come charging over hill to rape their daughters, steal their jobs and inflate their taxes with demands for food stamps and welfare. Obama’s terrible policies have fed this fear. Trump has effectively tapped into it.

With the GOP field so divided and given Trump’s high name identification, it was a smart way to launch him into a prominent position, but as his terrible head-to-head numbers against the Democrats indicates, it isn’t a strategy to win a general election. Throw in his misogyny, arrogance and long history of supporting leftists and his star should dim quickly. The same immigration hawks that are propelling him now are the most likely to be turned off by his donations to Hillary, his tendency to refer to women as pigs, and the fact that he brags about how doable he finds his own daughter.

Like I said…excrement.

Meanwhile Rand Paul’s numbers continue to drift downward. He’s lost 40% of his polling support since April, drifting from over 11% to just 6.6% today. Let’s face it; he’s been a less than inspiring candidate. He has managed to alienate almost every segment of the Republican base as he has run what looks like a general election strategy wholly oblivious to the fact that he has to convince the GOP to nominate him first.

I haven’t understood the logic from the start. He still performs well against Hillary, but that’s a sound bite, not the cornerstone of a nominating strategy. There is still time to right the ship, but building a coalition of people who can actually vote for him would be a good start. And I say all of this as a supporter growing more and more concerned.

Finally this week Ted Cruz released a new book about, I believe, fly fishing. According to Amazon it is selling briskly as Cuban-American fly fishermen snap it up at a record pace. The New York Times, always culturally biased against Latinos in waders, has refused to acknowledge the book’s success and place it on its best seller list. They claim that the Big Fly Fishing lobby is bulk purchasing the book and storing copies in a warehouse in Boca next to the government sugar. For his part Cruz is raising a giant pile of money off of being marginalized by The New York Times. Thus we have a perfect metaphor for everything wrong with our politics and our culture.

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