by Phillip Stucky
Both Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump lost ground with those who voted for their respective party in 2012, according to a Red Oak Strategic Poll published Tuesday.
In the poll, researchers asked respondents who they voted for in the 2012 presidential election. The last Red Oak Strategic poll was taken two weeks ago, and showed that 85.8 percent of those who voted for President Barack Obama supported the Democratic nominee. Trump enjoyed 80 percent of those who voted for former Gov. Mitt Romney.
In the most recent poll, Clinton’s support among those who voted for Obama fell by 15 points to 70.9 percent. Trump had a similar drop, losing 14 points among those who voted for Romney.
Interestingly, 21.7 percent reported they didn’t know who they voted for in 2012, and Trump lost with that group. Two weeks ago, Trump earned 52 percent, but that lead fell to 24.9 percent in the recent poll.
The online survey showed a 7-point lead for Clinton when Libertarian Gary Johnson was added to the poll. Clinton earned 37.4 percent, Trump earned 30.4 percent, and Johnson earned 10.4 percent. The Real Clear Average on the three-way race gives Clinton 41.6 percent, Trump 38 percent, and Johnson 8.9 percent.
The Red Oak poll revealed that 21.8 percent of likely voters were undecided. When voters were forced to choose between the three candidates, Clinton still leads by a wide margin, 47.9 percent compared to Trump’s 38.9 percent. Johnson earned 13.3 percent.
The Red Oak Strategic poll surveyed 900 likely voters online, and carried a 3.2 percent margin of error. Those who didn’t complete the full survey including demographic data were removed from the final results. The response rate for the online poll was 8.1 percent.